伊朗的年度通货膨胀达到89%,因为战争压力破坏家庭生活水平

家居收入的价格

Iran's year-on-year inflation reached 89 percent by late August, while food prices were more than 127 percent higher than a year earlier, according to Statistical Center figures reported by Al Jazeera on September 13. The rial also fell beyond 1.37 million to the US dollar on Tehran's open market before recovering slightly. Together, those movements mark a fresh deterioration in purchasing power during the continuing war and maritime disruption.

压力在普通家庭选择中显而易见。 在德黑兰接受采访的家庭描述了主要采购的延迟,放弃购买房屋或开始独立生活的计划,并大幅减少肉类、服装和家庭用品的消耗。 报告中的一家家庭在补贴和粮食支持后每月收入约为800万里亚尔,相当于在开放市场率上占据约350美元,而几个家庭成员结合了养老金、旅行和家居,以支付支出。

战争组合延长经济衰退

伊朗的经济已经受到制裁、腐败、能源短缺和弱投资的限制,直到美国和以色列在2月28日开始战争。 几个月的轰炸、严厉的制裁和海上封锁阻碍了石油出口,并复杂了航空、铁路和道路贸易。 上周的汽油价格上涨增加了通货膨胀的另一个潜在渠道,通过运输和生产成本。

故事不只是关于经济是否正式崩溃。 家庭和企业可以继续运作,同时不断变得贫穷。 家庭正在通过减少食物质量、休闲、教育和医疗保健来保存现金,而安装采购将今天的压力转化为未来的债务。 面临意想不到的价格和汇率的企业将资源用于维护现有业务而不是进行新的投资,削弱恢复基础。

The United Nations has independently identified the humanitarian edge of those pressures. In July, the UN World Food Programme said vulnerable and conflict-affected families in Iran faced growing economic strain that threatened their ability to obtain food; it also described continuing assistance for more than 35,000 vulnerable refugees. What matters next is whether regional diplomacy improves transport through the Strait of Hormuz, whether the rial stabilises, and whether further fuel-price effects push food inflation still higher.