UK minister says the 1.5 million-home target now has only a slim chance of being met

一艘旗舰的目标从距离出发

Britain's communities secretary Angela Rayner acknowledged on September 13 that the government has only a slim chance of delivering 1.5 million additional homes in England before the next general election. She described the total as a stretch target and said it was not being abandoned. The admission is politically important because it is the clearest recognition yet from the minister responsible for housing that planning reforms and public investment may not be enough to meet one of the government's central domestic pledges.

雷纳将恶化前景与国际通货膨胀和与美国与伊朗战争相关的建设成本上涨有关。 《卫报》报道称,私人家庭建设者在改革旨在进一步开放土地并加快规划决策后,也减少了发展活动。 更高的贷款、材料和能源成本可能会使批准的项目商业上不可行,这意味着仅有规划许可不能保证房屋将开始或完成。

政府将重点转向可用供应

Although the overall target remains formally intact, ministers are placing greater emphasis on council and social housing. The government announced in August that nearly £10 billion from its wider £39 billion Social and Affordable Homes Programme would be allocated to councils and housing associations. Official programme guidance requires at least 60% of the homes delivered through the programme to be for social rent, while also supporting specialist, rural and community-led housing.

The official funding announcement and the minister's latest admission describe different parts of the same policy problem. The programme could materially expand affordable supply, but its ten-year timetable extends well beyond the current parliament. The 1.5 million pledge, by contrast, requires a rapid increase in near-term completions. Public funding can help projects proceed through a weak private market, yet land assembly, infrastructure, procurement and construction still impose delays that cannot be removed immediately.

什么会表明是否可以缩小差距

接下来的证据将来自住房开始,计划批准,即进展到建设,以及新可用的住房计划下的第一批分配。 部长们还正在考虑对近已连接的铁路和电车站发展更允许的方法。 关键测试是这些变化是否会产生完成的房屋,而不是更大的许可管道。 雷纳的决定保持目标,保留了对部门和理事会的压力,但她的入会重新定义了期望:政策现在将不仅对总标题进行审判,而且还根据实际交付的房屋的数量、数量和位置。