Iran

World events. Live probabilities.

White House considers Defense Production Act support for US oil-refining expansion

Energy

The deliberations connect an escalating energy shock to emergency industrial powers that the administration broadened days earlier, but no specific refinery project or funding commitment has been announced.

2 min read

Drone attacks force Saudi Arabia to halt its East-West oil pipeline

Strikes

Riyadh says the drones came from Iraqi territory but has deferred retaliation while Baghdad investigates, placing a vital Hormuz-bypass route under new pressure.

3 min read

US diesel price exceeds $6 a gallon for the first time

Energy

The record national average extends the Iran war’s energy shock into freight, farming and consumer prices, complicating the inflation outlook.

2 min read

Iran and Gulf states will meet in Oman to discuss navigation through the Strait of Hormuz

Diplomacy

Monday’s regional meeting will test whether Tehran and its neighbours can turn a temporary shipping arrangement into a more durable security framework for the disrupted energy corridor.

2 min read

Pakistan opens parallel talks with Iran and Saudi Arabia as Yemen fighting escalates

Diplomacy

Separate calls involving Pakistan's defence chief and Saudi Arabia's foreign minister show Islamabad trying to contain regional spillover without promising military action.

2 min read

Daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz falls to seven vessels

Energy

Transponder data cited by Meduza showed traffic halving from the preceding ten-day average as renewed fighting again constrained a critical energy corridor.

2 min read

UN Security Council holds emergency session as Yemen war enters a more dangerous phase

Security

The meeting followed Houthi advances near Bab al-Mandeb and cross-border attacks, with diplomats warning that renewed warfare threatens civilians, aid operations and international shipping.

2 min read

Trump and Hegseth use Pentagon 9/11 memorial to defend the war on Iran

Security

At the 25th-anniversary ceremony, the president and defence secretary connected remembrance of the 2001 attacks with the administration’s continuing military campaign against Iran.

2 min read

US Navy acknowledges severe Iranian damage to its Bahrain headquarters

Strikes

The admission raises questions about the future of the Fifth Fleet’s principal regional hub as renewed attacks keep Gulf bases and shipping routes under pressure.

2 min read

Trump administration schedules sanctions on an unnamed large bank for Monday

Diplomacy

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the next financial penalty will extend Washington’s campaign to isolate Iran, but the institution has not been identified.

2 min read

US inflation holds at 3.4% as renewed Iran war lifts energy costs

Energy

August price data leave the Federal Reserve facing a difficult rate decision while expensive fuel transmits the Gulf conflict into household budgets and transport costs.

3 min read

Houthis seize Mayyun Island after an offensive reaches the Bab el-Mandeb strait

Security

The capture places Houthi forces on the island dividing the strategic waterway’s two shipping channels and raises new risks for Red Sea traffic.

2 min read

MI5 chief calls for society-wide security effort against terrorism and state aggression

Security

Ken McCallum says Britain must connect government, business and academia as strategic threats increasingly converge with persistent terrorism risks.

2 min read