OddsFrontCeasefires
World events. Live probabilities.
Israel demolishes Hezbollah underground complex at Lebanon’s Ali al-Taher ridge
The operation deepens Israel’s hold over a strategic highland despite a ceasefire framework that calls for its withdrawal from Lebanese territory.
Kremlin aide urges Trump to end US support for Ukraine
Yuri Ushakov tied an end to American assistance to prospects for peace as Washington sought to restart trilateral negotiations without securing a breakthrough.
Nigeria and Boko Haram reportedly observe a secret three-month ceasefire
The reported pause around Ngoshe followed the release of 360 abducted villagers, but neither Abuja nor independent monitors have confirmed the arrangement.
Zelensky gives conditional backing to US proposals and seeks September Trump meeting
Ukraine's president identifies energy and grain as possible areas for compromise while leaving the feasibility of the proposals unresolved.
Burnham and Trump discuss Ukraine ceasefire efforts in September 7 call
Downing Street records British support for US diplomacy and regional priorities covering Palestinian statehood, Hormuz and Iran.