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World events. Live probabilities.

UN climate chief tells European lawmakers that warming has become an economic security emergency

Security

Simon Stiell linked Europe’s record heat and infrastructure disruption to inflation, energy dependence and the policy choices facing lawmakers before COP31.

2 min read

US House schedules first step toward vote on sweeping Russia sanctions bill

Diplomacy

A September 14 Rules Committee meeting creates a new procedural opening for legislation targeting Russian energy buyers, while disputes over presidential tariff power threaten its House passage.

2 min read

Russia turns to South Korean and Turkish fuel as refinery outages reshape trade

Energy

A new energy-market assessment says record August imports and the first reported Turkish gasoline cargoes show the domestic impact of Ukraine’s campaign against Russian oil infrastructure.

2 min read

United States sanctions networks accused of funding Hezbollah and Kata’ib Hezbollah

Diplomacy

Washington also tightened Iran-related licensing and solicited information about sanctions evasion as its economic campaign widened across four Middle Eastern countries.

2 min read

Ukraine urges US House to act on Russia sanctions bill before election recess

Diplomacy

Kyiv’s sanctions commissioner says the legislation faces a four-day congressional window, while an earlier White House policy statement confirms administration support for the measure.

2 min read

New Yemen fighting kills children as Houthi attacks trigger alerts in southern Saudi Arabia

Strikes

Clashes across several Yemeni fronts and renewed cross-border attacks are displacing thousands of families and putting the fragile UN-led political process under greater strain.

2 min read

TUC urges Burnham to rewrite UK migration reforms over social-care and workplace risks

Humanitarian

Britain’s trade-union leadership has opened a new political challenge to longer settlement waits as recent official data show steep falls in care-worker recruitment.

3 min read

Pakistan says renewed Houthi attacks could activate the Mecca defence pact

Strikes

Islamabad’s warning gives the Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani security agreement its first serious test as fighting in Yemen again spills across borders.

2 min read

SDF dissolution shifts Syria’s Kurdish struggle from armed autonomy to constitutional politics

Politics

The Kurdish-led force has merged into Syria’s state structures, leaving unresolved questions over representation, language rights and security in the northeast.

3 min read

Eight hijackings signal a renewed piracy threat off Somalia

Security

Cargo diversions, thinner naval coverage and instability onshore are giving Somali pirate groups new opportunities along a strategically important shipping route.

2 min read

Turkey raises year-end inflation forecast to 28.4%

Energy

Ankara's revised economic programme acknowledges a slower path to price stability as regional conflict complicates planning.

2 min read

Kılıçdaroğlu leaves conditional opening for backing İmamoğlu presidential bid

Politics

An Ankara interview raises the prospect of opposition cooperation against a background of detention and due-process disputes.

2 min read