OddsFrontSudan
World events. Live probabilities.
UN Security Council extends the Darfur arms embargo for one month
The short rollover preserves existing Sudan sanctions while members negotiate a US proposal to expand the weapons ban nationwide.
Sudan's artisanal gold boom is poisoning farmland around Abu Hamad
War-driven mining is displacing agriculture along the Nile as toxic processing waste compounds Sudan's national food-security emergency.
Three thousand new tents leave most displaced families in Sudan’s Tawila without adequate shelter
Rain, disease and obstructed aid routes are compounding the shelter deficit in one of Darfur’s largest displacement hubs.
Voluntary programme prepares flights home for at least 1,300 Sudanese refugees in Uganda
Some refugees are choosing return despite Sudan’s continuing instability, while UN data show that cross-border movement remains a large and closely monitored humanitarian issue.
RSF drone strike on North Kordofan courthouse kills at least 13
The attack on a civilian judicial building extends a documented pattern of drone warfare across Sudan's Kordofan region, where the UN says civilians and essential infrastructure face mounting risks.
Protesters seal UNHCR headquarters in Tripoli amid anti-migrant campaign
The physical closure escalates months of demonstrations against the UN refugee agency as Libya hosts a growing population of refugees and migrants, including hundreds of thousands displaced from Sudan.
UN reports sharp rise in attacks on education as conflicts disrupt millions of pupils
A new global observance highlights 8,566 attacks or military-use incidents involving education in 2024 and 2025 and calls for stronger school protections.
New investigation points to possible chemical-weapons attacks in Sudan
Witness accounts and digital material indicate possible toxic exposure during air operations, but investigators say laboratory and site evidence is still needed for a conclusive finding.